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	<title>Prophet &#8211; BIOENGINEER.ORG</title>
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		<title>Reported Echinococcosis in Xinjiang Peaked in 2017 and Fell to a 2022 Low, but the Best Forecast Model Depends on the Test</title>
		<link>https://bioengineer.org/reported-echinococcosis-in-xinjiang-peaked-in-2017-and-fell-to-a-2022-low-but-the-best-forecast-model-depends-on-the-test/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Oct 2026 00:22:51 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[annual percentage change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BMC Infectious Diseases]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[COVID-19 pandemic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[echinococcosis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joinpoint regression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LSTM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prophet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SARIMA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[surveillance data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Temporal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[time-series forecasting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Xinjiang]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[A 15-year analysis of 20,302 reported echinococcosis cases in Xinjiang found cases peaked in 2017 and fell to a low in 2022, while a comparison of five forecasting models showed the best performer changed depending on whether forecasts came from a fixed origin or were updated monthly.]]></description>
		
		
		
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